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Actually, that's not true. There are plenty of "old school" businesses being dragged kicking and screaming into the social media world and lots of "social media consultants" getting paid big bucks to teach execs how to use these tools, so their company isn't the next Kryponite. :)
There's lots of unclaimed opportunity out there -- unsolved problems about reputation and reliability, the balance between privacy and collaboration. Just to take the example of comments on this blog -- where's the Disqus for managing your health? That's a task that is ripe for disruption and democratization, if the right balance can be found.
I worked a for a software company that did everything with an engineering process: creation of long docs specifying features, many meetings, etc. Nothing ever got completed. I'm now in a start-up where virtually all of our development is driven by customer requests and comments on how they use our service (brand monitoring in social media). The dev team implements in almost real time- I am often finding new features during customers demos!
While we are a B-B company, I think the reversal of the innovation model is definitely driven by the processes you describe.
You could argue that the failure to recognize this is behind Microsoft's inability to release products that work...
another important correlation perhaps - the process of innovation in consumer-driven ecosystems is now FAR MORE frictionless.
primarily because 'user innovation' can be crowdsourced (a function of a good socially engineered system). my point is a bit chicken and egg perhaps :)
btw, i loved the pattern recognition and insight regarding 'social engineering' and utility. Off topic, but i've been thinking a lot about the value lifecycle and utility of advertising - and how 'social engineering' has re-configured this. Your piece has cemented a lot of my thinking. Once again, thanks
Huh? NASA didn't produce much innovation. Bell Labs did. Edison did. GE did. Heck, even GM and Ford did. NASA, not so much.
Even if we restrict ourselves to govt organizations, NASA is behind at least two of the national labs.
http://www.nasa.gov/vision/earth/technologies/s...
http://www.thespaceplace.com/nasa/spinoffs.html
http://www.sti.nasa.gov/tto/
http://www.nasa.gov/topics/nasalife/index.html
And yes, I'm biased as a former NASA employee :-)
1) Ease (and lack of needed funding) to launch a consumer facing service
2) Flow of capital (from banks, to VC's and now to Angels)
3) The ability for anyone to create a solution to a problem that they have experienced first hand
www.twitter.com/A_F
So many geeky solutions for geeky problems. Aggregation as a whole category.
If it's a pyramid, with "NASA" at the top and regular Joe at the bottom, the flow has been reversed, but there is a gap in the middle.
Facebook, myspace and flirting apps appeal to and are built for the base of that pyramid. Delicious and the rest of 2.0 are stuck at 15% from the top. This is where the social engineers live.
Your education disruption is the team that seamlessly bridges the gap between "Send Hotness" and Delicious, "one layer at a time. "
People need to focus on ubber functionality not ubber web2.0 sexiness.
Great post. I really would like to have a beer and a tech convo with Dave at some point. Thanks Brad.
1. The term "social engineering" has negative connotations.
2. Engineering per se was never about "putting together" of material systems and people... architecture always was.
3. Social systems are based on metaphors and rhetoric - not on formal logic.
Notice to VCs - my impression is that most of the newer pure social web companies' founders have backgrounds in humanities... not engineering.
It's not there's a new NASA, so much as there's a thousand of them working on less complicated, less capital intensive experiments and purposes. There's a really interesting essay by Ron Chernow in the NYT's Week In Review section yesterday about the critical link Wall Street was to scarce capital back in the day (19thC).
Today's problems are not as obvious as the need to build factories and railroads though. While the innovation is being reversed, it seems more like Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan - you can't tell which experiment is going to win like you could with making cheap stuff or building a railroad, so more experiments, faster, smaller than the scale of industrial era investments, will increase your chances of portfolio success.
I think it's a big deal that this is happening and may be a leading indicator of a different way to look for and fund innovation.
Like Emil, I really feel that the successful web services will be fueled by a great sense of human psychology and a clear communication of the project social goals.
Lifesaresort.com We're still in beta, but launching next month. Viewer numbers are massive YET (5 figs), but pageviews, time on site and bounce rates are all great. Must be the easily accessible videos (content) and design of page. Go figure. We have a bit more new stuff coming, so keep us on your radar screen.
Best,
Chuck@lifesaresort.com
So was there some innovation that lead to that success? In my opinion, there was indeed innovation in utility and social engagement. Most of the sites brought together people in new ways, presented them and their connections in new ways, and provided a new platform for interaction, sharing and self-promotion. The technology didn't really matter as much as the new opportunities that these services tapped into. People were interested in doing the things that myspace, youtube, and facebook had to offer.
Efficiency may have mattered, and efficiency is a reason is like craigslist, but the efficiency of myspace and youtube (during their rocket to brand recognition) was far from ideal. I've heard people speculate that the designs were 1) lucky, or 2) intentionally like games. In either case, they worked enough to get them 100's of millions of users and/or content views.
So in my opinion, it goes back to product utility and social design. Make good product that people can use and love. Give them the tools or mechanisms to share it actively or passively. Learn, analyze, and improve - repeat.
Elegant observation Brad. We could probably update Don Norman’s canon The Design of Everyday Objects to The Design of Everyday Relationships.
Today, we’re not just designing the bazaars of conversation—we’re designing the conversation itself, specifying often intangible and implicit nuances of how people interact and create value together.
The future is for "social engineers"
and let me guess:
YOU are a social engineer.
You tell a good story - but disagree with your thesis -
-So called Innovation from the edge is often technology tinkering for the sake of technology - lacks business case and most times will never find one.
-Design by social engineering is conversation and brainstorming of the masses, and takes much longer to synthesize into novel and inventive concepts leading to "real" products (Innovation).
-The past few years Innovation been confused for thinking out loud. Rather Innovation is about transposing those conversations it into a real product (make no mistake - you need the electrical engineer). And it is not happening from the edge as you have extrapolated.
The flow of Innovation seems to have shifted - but that’s the view of a select few in the VC world. Show me how much of this VC funded Innovation from the other direction has created a real economy (and please don't call ad serving a real economy) - and if there is such a thing - Google innovated in that space and owns the product – till the next set of innovations perhaps displace them.
I have been through these cycles and lived life on both the money side and the innovation side. Of late people seem to use the word Innovation and Conversation interchangeably. That's pretty much most of what has happened from the edge – Conversations (which you call social engineering).
The romanticism of the Facebook anecdote is quite frankly laughable. Sorry to be harsh - but you seem think of the audience as peasants when you talk about your social engineering (it is just another conversation).
Here are a few examples - you should be no stranger to them…. Has YouTube, Twitter, Meebo, Ning, and hundreds of others figured out how to monetize yet.... NO they have started a conversation. That's it. It will change the how Innovation happens in an enterprise because the conversations at the edge push them to do what they had been thinking about for a long time. OS, Web Services, XML, APIs all these things were there long before most at the edge knew there was such a thing. BEA, IBM, MSFT and others in that league pioneered these areas long before some these VCs got a driver’s license. If anything Conversations (innovation in your terms), are really catalyst for further Innovation – but not Innovation in itself.
http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/next/archi...
That's an example of the enterprise converting "social engineering" (conversations) into real product - using the electrical engineer for the real Innovation.
At the same time, the reduced cost of implementation (Ruby, APIs, Moore's Law) makes it possible to build and launch a consumer service in the interval that an enterprise would still be studying the problem and arguing the "business case." Most of these will fail but out of this Darwinian process some will get big enough to attract the attention of government and business users.
In all cases, it still takes engineers to build these things but, as you point out, attracting voluntary users puts a premium on building engaging applications. I think it is fair to say that there is plenty of innovation taking place in building those apps,even if not all of them make money until they are adopted by businesses.
1. microfinance is the first, simplest, and most obvious step. techstars, ycombinator get props.
2. social capital, rather than a rapidly devaluing US dollar, is what is primarily being invested. we can define social capital as knowledge, trust, experience, one's social network, and other such intangibles that are NOT of a monetary nature. put another way, stuff that cannot be traded.
3. amortization of social capital is critical. in other words, what are your social assets, and how can you spread them across the widest number of investments?
4. lots of small bets. consistent with this is making the small bets simple ("just fill out a form to get started!") and liquid, so that people can get out quickly. in other words, private market investing is about to become a lot more like public market investing.
5. what's needed? private markets that enable liquidity in these transactions. a new stock market, so to speak, so that these small bets can be traded and easily liquidated.
6. the real issue: creating the governance system that will enable this.
in sum, my colleague and I view the reversal in the flow of innovation as being deeply connected to the pending disruption of the venture capital industry. however, the pending disruption of the venture capital industry is related to the monetary crisis we now have in the united states (and by extension, the rest of the world). greenspan's inflation of the money supply led to the nasdaq bubble; every bubble has malinvestments, which we saw. greenspan's fed then overexpanded the money supply again to create the housing bubble -- but this also gave VCs too much cash, which is resulting in a new round of malinvestments (though as housing was the primary culprit this time around the VC malinvestment is not nearly as bad....though we will look back upon stuff like electronic hamburgers on facebook and the facebook app craze in general as stuff that should've been created by some kid in a basement, not venture backed firms).
the ashes need to settle on the collapse of the old system -- the military industrial complex/nasa source of innovation. once that's done, that's when the real reversal of innovation will occur (the game hasn't even begun yet, this is just batting practice). it will not take as long as many suspect; i say 4 years. but oh boy, the collapse that will occur over the next four years is going to be one for the books, no doubt about that one. it's going to wipe out silicon valley and most VC firms as we know it (as silicon valley is a child of the military industrial complex, and that whole tree is getting chopped). the good news is that what arises after the ashes settle will be something unlike anything we've ever seen before. pursuing this disruption to its fullest is, in my opinion, the road to creating "the next google."
the government issue is the big obstacle. in the united states, anyone who is honest with themselves and aware of the basic facts should be able to agree that government is owned by major corporations (aka military industrial complex), and these corporations control monetary policy and corporate finance -- aka wall street. they are not going to sit by and watch their industry get disrupted by the creation of new private market governance systems. but that old system is in the process of self-destruction, and out of this darkness comes a very bright light.
"The burden is on the designer of the system to meet a need, entertain, or inform their users. They also have to seduce those users, hiding complexity, revealing one layer at time, always enticing, never intimidating, until the user one day finds they are intimately familiar with power and the pleasures of the service."
Once the insight has been made, the solution is obvious. Not sure if I have the jets to get it done, I'm a product guy rather a social engineer. But, they ain't lowering the hoop just because I'm 5' 10". We'll see.
nothing like making the mistake to teach a lesson
i've done that so many times myself
Thanks! I will keep working the problem. Thanks to Brad Burnham for a
great article,
Ted
This is essential as organizations become increasingly dependent on people outside there organization to create the things that create the organization. Clearly important in web2 cos where the user generated content is the thing the company is actually about.
Another example at the convergence of social innovation and open sources is OpenMRS (http://openmrs.org) which is developing an open-source medical records system that is spreading like wildfire around Africa now. They are finding more and more that what's needed to keep up the growth and success is the competencies of community management - the lightweight governance model you mentioned.
Great stuff - we still need things that are built by conventional organizations that will do it in conventional ways. But the more that the venture is dealing with changing systems (either they are trying or it's happening around them) the more what you talk about is going to be essential for survival and success.
Thanks for posting and prompting the discussion.
in non-mature industries, innovation is no longer limited to a restricted number of people and companies. Almost anywhere in the industrialized world people and companies can bring innovation as the price to enter the arena in non-mature industry segments has been lowered (especially in web services).
Just don't try to bring innovation in car design or manufacturing (mature industries), as there the price to enter is higher than ever before.
Has the flow of technology development reversed? Or does it just seem that way to the VCs that are trying to expand the market of consumer internet technology? I remember during the dot-com bubble, there was a moment when all of sudden, it was B2B that was where the money was, not consumer.
...and that came right before the bottom hit.
It's a hard pill to swallow for some but I agree with you - the marketers are going to be running the show for a while. There are just too many fantastic, amazing tools out there to interact, connect, solicit, and engage consumers. There is an enormous amount of integration work (5 years worth, I'd say) necessary to make the consumer interaction model seemless and successfully parse out the actionable data for industry. But my intuition tells me this is a catch-up, cyclical type of issue. Once the marketers figure out how to package all this technology, the engineers will get their shot again as we'll be ready to digest something new.
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My worry is that a fixation on the interface discounts the need to have mice running on the treadmill behind the scenes. Is it me or are there a lot of sites that bought into "interface is everything" but only deliver a narrow slice of value?